The model estimates 2.07 goals for Lyon and 1.33 for Olympique Marseille. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lyon and 6 for Olympique Marseille, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lyon · 51%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lyon is going head to head with Olympique Marseille on December 13, 2026 at 22:45. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 14.
Lyon take on Olympique Marseille in the Ligue 1 on 13 December 2026 at 22:45.
Lyon are currently placed 5th in the table with 14 points, while Olympique Marseille occupy 7th position with 12 points.
Lyon come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Olympique Marseille have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 58 recorded meetings, Lyon have 23 wins against Olympique Marseille, with 19 draws.
Prediction: Lyon to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.40. Over 2.5: 66%. BTTS: 65%.
LYOOLYLYOOLYLYOOLYLYOOLYLYOOLYLYOOLYLYOOLYLYOOLYLYOOLYIn their last 6 matches, Lyon have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lyon's last 6 matches.
Lyon score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Olympique Marseille's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Olympique Marseille's last 6 matches.
Olympique Marseille score an average of 2.33 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
