The model estimates 1.32 goals for Lyon and 0.79 for Lorient. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lyon and 6 for Lorient, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lyon · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lyon is going head to head with Lorient on January 16, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 16.
Lyon take on Lorient in the Ligue 1 on 16 January 2027 at 00:00.
Lyon are currently placed 4th in the table with 14 points, while Lorient occupy 8th position with 12 points.
Lyon come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lorient have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 39 recorded meetings, Lyon have 20 wins against Lorient, with 11 draws.
Prediction: Lyon to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.11. Over 2.5: 35%. BTTS: 42%.
LYOLORLYOLORLYOLORLYOLORLYOLORLYOLORLYOLORLYOLORLYOLORIn their last 6 matches, Lyon have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lyon's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Lyon's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Lorient have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Lorient's last 6 matches.
Lorient have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
