The model estimates 1.64 goals for Brest and 0.84 for Troyes. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Brest and 6 for Troyes, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Brest · 52%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Brest is going head to head with Troyes on December 12, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 14.
Brest take on Troyes in the Ligue 1 on 12 December 2026 at 19:00.
Brest are currently placed 13th in the table with 9 points, while Troyes occupy 17th position with 6 points.
Brest come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Troyes have 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 21 recorded meetings, Brest have 10 wins against Troyes, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Brest to win with probability 52%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.48. Over 2.5: 45%. BTTS: 47%.




Brest have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Brest's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Brest's last 6 matches.
Troyes have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Troyes's last 6 matches.
Troyes have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches.