The model estimates 1.01 goals for Troyes and 1.86 for Rennes. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Troyes and 6 for Rennes, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Rennes · 50%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Troyes is going head to head with Rennes on January 02, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 15.
Troyes take on Rennes in the Ligue 1 on 2 January 2027 at 00:00.
Troyes are currently placed 17th in the table with 6 points, while Rennes occupy 2nd position with 16 points.
Troyes come into this match with 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Rennes have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 33 recorded meetings, Rennes have 12 wins against Troyes, with 12 draws.
Prediction: Rennes to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.87. Over 2.5: 55%. BTTS: 55%.




Troyes have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Troyes's last 6 matches.
Troyes have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Rennes's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Rennes have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Rennes's last 6 matches.