The model estimates 1.14 goals for Troyes and 1.31 for Le Mans. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Troyes and 6 for Le Mans, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Le Mans · 36%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Troyes is going head to head with Le Mans on October 31, 2026 at 16:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 9.
Troyes take on Le Mans in the Ligue 1 on 31 October 2026 at 16:00.
Troyes are currently placed 17th in the table with 6 points, while Le Mans occupy 15th position with 7 points.
Troyes come into this match with 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Le Mans have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Le Mans to win with probability 36%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.45. Over 2.5: 44%. BTTS: 51%.




Troyes have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Troyes's last 6 matches.
Troyes have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 matches.
Le Mans have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Le Mans's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Le Mans have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.