The model estimates 2.58 goals for Olympique Marseille and 1.48 for Le Mans. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Olympique Marseille and 6 for Le Mans, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Olympique Marseille · 56%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Olympique Marseille is going head to head with Le Mans on November 21, 2026 at 16:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 11.
Olympique Marseille take on Le Mans in the Ligue 1 on 21 November 2026 at 16:00.
Olympique Marseille are currently placed 7th in the table with 12 points, while Le Mans occupy 15th position with 7 points.
Olympique Marseille come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Le Mans have 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Olympique Marseille to win with probability 56%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 4.06. Over 2.5: 77%. BTTS: 72%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Olympique Marseille's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Olympique Marseille's last 6 matches.
Olympique Marseille score an average of 2.33 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Le Mans have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Le Mans's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Le Mans have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.