The model estimates 0.88 goals for Le Mans and 1.33 for Lille. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Le Mans and 6 for Lille, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lille · 41%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Le Mans is going head to head with Lille on November 28, 2026 at 16:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 12.
Le Mans take on Lille in the Ligue 1 on 28 November 2026 at 16:00.
Le Mans are currently placed 15th in the table with 7 points, while Lille occupy 3rd position with 15 points.
Le Mans come into this match with 1 win, 3 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lille have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Lille to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.21. Over 2.5: 38%. BTTS: 45%.




Le Mans have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Le Mans's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Le Mans have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Lille have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Lille concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 away matches, Lille have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.