The model estimates 1.57 goals for Tasmania Berlin and 4.01 for Erfurt. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Tasmania Berlin and 6 for Erfurt, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Erfurt · 64%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Tasmania Berlin is going head to head with Erfurt on December 13, 2026 at 16:00. This match is part of Germany Regionalliga Nordost — Round 20.
Tasmania Berlin take on Erfurt in the Germany Regionalliga Nordost on 13 December 2026 at 16:00.
Tasmania Berlin are currently placed 16th in the table with 11 points, while Erfurt occupy 1st position with 37 points.
Tasmania Berlin come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Erfurt have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Erfurt have 1 win against Tasmania Berlin.
Prediction: Erfurt to win with probability 69%. Most likely scoreline: 1-4. Avg goals: 5.57. Over 2.5: 91%. BTTS: 78%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Tasmania Berlin's last 6 matches.
Tasmania Berlin have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Tasmania Berlin have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Erfurt have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Erfurt's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Erfurt's last 6 matches.