The model estimates 3.23 goals for Erfurt and 1.00 for Luckenwalde. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Erfurt and 6 for Luckenwalde, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Erfurt · 70%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Erfurt is going head to head with Luckenwalde on February 28, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Germany Regionalliga Nordost — Round 23.
Erfurt take on Luckenwalde in the Germany Regionalliga Nordost on 28 February 2027 at 00:00.
Erfurt are currently placed 1st in the table with 31 points, while Luckenwalde occupy 18th position with 6 points.
Erfurt come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Luckenwalde have 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 9 recorded meetings, Erfurt have 5 wins against Luckenwalde, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Erfurt to win with probability 70%. Most likely scoreline: 3-0. Avg goals: 4.23. Over 2.5: 79%. BTTS: 61%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Erfurt's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Erfurt's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Erfurt have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Luckenwalde have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Luckenwalde have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Luckenwalde's last 6 matches.