The model estimates 1.43 goals for Chemie Leipzig and 2.44 for Erfurt. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Chemie Leipzig and 6 for Erfurt, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Erfurt · 55%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Chemie Leipzig is going head to head with Erfurt on November 08, 2026 at 16:00. This match is part of Germany Regionalliga Nordost — Round 16.
Chemie Leipzig take on Erfurt in the Germany Regionalliga Nordost on 8 November 2026 at 16:00.
Chemie Leipzig are currently placed 13th in the table with 13 points, while Erfurt occupy 1st position with 31 points.
Chemie Leipzig come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Erfurt have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 9 recorded meetings, Erfurt have 4 wins against Chemie Leipzig, with 5 draws.
Prediction: Erfurt to win with probability 54%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.88. Over 2.5: 74%. BTTS: 70%.




There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Chemie Leipzig's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Chemie Leipzig's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Chemie Leipzig have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Erfurt's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 6 of Erfurt's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Erfurt have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.