The model estimates 2.12 goals for Sturm Graz and 0.81 for Austria Vienna. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Sturm Graz and 6 for Austria Vienna, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Sturm Graz · 62%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Sturm Graz is going head to head with Austria Vienna on December 05, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Austrian Bundesliga — Round 15.
Sturm Graz take on Austria Vienna in the Austrian Bundesliga on 5 December 2026 at 19:00.
Sturm Graz are currently placed 4th in the table with 19 points, while Austria Vienna occupy 11th position with 7 points.
Sturm Graz come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Austria Vienna have 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 129 recorded meetings, Austria Vienna have 48 wins against Sturm Graz, with 35 draws.
Prediction: Sturm Graz to win with probability 62%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.93. Over 2.5: 56%. BTTS: 50%.




In their last 6 matches, Sturm Graz have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Sturm Graz score an average of 2.00 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Sturm Graz are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated home matches.
Austria Vienna have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Austria Vienna have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Austria Vienna's last 6 matches.