The model estimates 0.57 goals for Sertanense and 1.25 for Os Marialvas. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Sertanense and 6 for Os Marialvas, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Os Marialvas · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Sertanense is going head to head with Os Marialvas on February 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 18.
Sertanense take on Os Marialvas in the Campeonato de Portugal on 14 February 2027 at 00:00.
Sertanense are currently placed 49th in the table with 5 points, while Os Marialvas occupy 2nd position with 19 points.
Sertanense come into this match with 0 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Os Marialvas have 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 3 recorded meetings, Os Marialvas have 1 win against Sertanense, with 2 draws.
Prediction: Os Marialvas to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 1.82. Over 2.5: 28%. BTTS: 33%.
SEROS SEROS SEROS SEROS SEROS SEROS SEROS SEROS SEROS Sertanense have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Sertanense have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Sertanense's last 6 matches.
Os Marialvas are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Os Marialvas have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Os Marialvas have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
