The model estimates 1.91 goals for Fatima and 1.26 for Sertanense. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Fatima and 6 for Sertanense, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Fatima · 66%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Fatima is going head to head with Sertanense on February 21, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 19.
Fatima take on Sertanense in the Campeonato de Portugal on 21 February 2027 at 00:00.
Fatima are currently placed 39th in the table with 5 points, while Sertanense occupy 46th position with 4 points.
Fatima come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sertanense have 0 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 7 recorded meetings, Sertanense have 2 wins against Fatima, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Fatima to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.17. Over 2.5: 61%. BTTS: 62%.




Fatima have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Fatima's last 6 matches.
Fatima score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Sertanense have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Sertanense have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Sertanense's last 6 matches.