The model estimates 1.53 goals for Os Marialvas and 0.73 for SB Castelo Branco. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Os Marialvas and 6 for SB Castelo Branco, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Os Marialvas · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Os Marialvas is going head to head with SB Castelo Branco on March 07, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 21.
Os Marialvas take on SB Castelo Branco in the Campeonato de Portugal on 7 March 2027 at 00:00.
Os Marialvas are currently placed 6th in the table with 13 points, while SB Castelo Branco occupy 18th position with 9 points.
Os Marialvas come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas SB Castelo Branco have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, Os Marialvas have 4 wins against SB Castelo Branco.
Prediction: Os Marialvas to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.26. Over 2.5: 39%. BTTS: 42%.
OS SB OS SB OS SB OS SB OS SB OS SB OS SB OS SB OS SB In their last 6 matches, Os Marialvas have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Os Marialvas have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Os Marialvas's last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of SB Castelo Branco's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of SB Castelo Branco's last 6 matches.
SB Castelo Branco score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
