The model estimates 1.93 goals for Rayo Vallecano and 1.08 for Malaga. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Rayo Vallecano and 6 for Malaga, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Rayo Vallecano · 61%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Rayo Vallecano is going head to head with Malaga on December 20, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of LaLiga — Round 17.
Rayo Vallecano take on Malaga in the LaLiga on 20 December 2026 at 19:00.
Rayo Vallecano are currently placed 15th in the table with 9 points, while Malaga occupy 20th position with 5 points.
Rayo Vallecano come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Malaga have 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Rayo Vallecano to win with probability 54%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.01. Over 2.5: 58%. BTTS: 58%.




Both teams have scored in 5 of Rayo Vallecano's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Rayo Vallecano have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Rayo Vallecano have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Malaga have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Malaga's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Malaga's last 6 matches.