The model estimates 1.21 goals for Malaga and 1.61 for Elche. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Malaga and 6 for Elche, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Elche · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Malaga is going head to head with Elche on January 03, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of LaLiga — Round 18.
Malaga take on Elche in the LaLiga on 3 January 2027 at 00:00.
Malaga are currently placed 20th in the table with 5 points, while Elche occupy 14th position with 10 points.
Malaga come into this match with 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Elche have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Elche to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.81. Over 2.5: 53%. BTTS: 58%.




Malaga have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Malaga's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Malaga's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Elche have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Elche have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Elche have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.