The model estimates 1.59 goals for Rayo Vallecano and 1.54 for Sevilla. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Rayo Vallecano and 6 for Sevilla, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Rayo Vallecano · 48%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Rayo Vallecano is going head to head with Sevilla on January 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of LaLiga — Round 20.
Rayo Vallecano take on Sevilla in the LaLiga on 17 January 2027 at 00:00.
Rayo Vallecano are currently placed 15th in the table with 9 points, while Sevilla occupy 6th position with 17 points.
Rayo Vallecano come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sevilla have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 51 recorded meetings, Sevilla have 29 wins against Rayo Vallecano, with 12 draws.
Prediction: Rayo Vallecano to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.13. Over 2.5: 61%. BTTS: 64%.




Both teams have scored in 5 of Rayo Vallecano's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Rayo Vallecano have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Rayo Vallecano have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Sevilla have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Sevilla have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Sevilla score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.