The model estimates 1.58 goals for Valencia and 0.90 for Malaga. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Valencia and 6 for Malaga, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Valencia · 51%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Valencia is going head to head with Malaga on January 10, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of LaLiga — Round 19.
Valencia take on Malaga in the LaLiga on 10 January 2027 at 00:00.
Valencia are currently placed 19th in the table with 6 points, while Malaga occupy 20th position with 5 points.
Valencia come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Malaga have 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Valencia to win with probability 51%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.48. Over 2.5: 45%. BTTS: 49%.




Valencia have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Valencia have lost 4 of their last 6 home matches.
Valencia have failed to score in 4 of their last 6 home matches.
Malaga have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Malaga's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Malaga's last 6 matches.