The model estimates 1.13 goals for Rayo Vallecano and 1.75 for Atl. Madrid. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Rayo Vallecano and 6 for Atl. Madrid, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Atl. Madrid · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Rayo Vallecano is going head to head with Atl. Madrid on January 03, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of LaLiga — Round 18.
Rayo Vallecano take on Atl. Madrid in the LaLiga on 3 January 2027 at 00:00.
Rayo Vallecano are currently placed 15th in the table with 9 points, while Atl. Madrid occupy 2nd position with 25 points.
Rayo Vallecano come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Atl. Madrid have 5 wins, 1 draw and 0 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Rayo Vallecano have 1 win against Atl. Madrid.
Prediction: Atl. Madrid to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 2.88. Over 2.5: 55%. BTTS: 57%.




Both teams have scored in 5 of Rayo Vallecano's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Rayo Vallecano have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Rayo Vallecano have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Atl. Madrid are on a run of 6 consecutive undefeated matches.
In their last 6 matches, Atl. Madrid have been unbeaten on 6 occasions.
Atl. Madrid have won 5 of their last 6 matches.