The model estimates 0.78 goals for Malaga and 2.43 for Real Madrid. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Malaga and 6 for Real Madrid, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Real Madrid · 61%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Malaga is going head to head with Real Madrid on January 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of LaLiga — Round 20.
Malaga take on Real Madrid in the LaLiga on 17 January 2027 at 00:00.
Malaga are currently placed 20th in the table with 5 points, while Real Madrid occupy 3rd position with 24 points.
Malaga come into this match with 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Real Madrid have 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Real Madrid have 1 win against Malaga.
Prediction: Real Madrid to win with probability 61%. Most likely scoreline: 0-2. Avg goals: 3.21. Over 2.5: 62%. BTTS: 50%.




Malaga have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Malaga's last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Malaga's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Real Madrid have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Real Madrid have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 5 of Real Madrid's last 6 matches.