European FootballTop competitionsNext match00d : 00h : 00m : 00sEuropean FootballTop competitionsNext match00d : 00h : 00m : 00sThe model estimates 1.50 goals for Mortagua and 0.75 for Sertanense. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Mortagua and 6 for Sertanense, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Mortagua · 53%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Mortagua is going head to head with Sertanense on January 24, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 15.
Mortagua take on Sertanense in the Campeonato de Portugal on 24 January 2027 at 00:00.
Mortagua are currently placed 7th in the table with 13 points, while Sertanense occupy 46th position with 4 points.
Mortagua come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sertanense have 0 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 9 recorded meetings, Mortagua have 3 wins against Sertanense, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Mortagua to win with probability 50%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.25. Over 2.5: 39%. BTTS: 42%.
MORSERMORSERMORSERMORSERMORSERMORSERMORSERMORSERMORSERIn their last 6 matches, Mortagua have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Mortagua have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Mortagua's last 6 matches.
Sertanense have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Sertanense have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Sertanense's last 6 matches.
