The model estimates 0.95 goals for Sertanense and 1.30 for O Elvas CAD. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Sertanense and 6 for O Elvas CAD, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: O Elvas CAD · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Sertanense is going head to head with O Elvas CAD on January 30, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 16.
Sertanense take on O Elvas CAD in the Campeonato de Portugal on 30 January 2027 at 00:00.
Sertanense are currently placed 46th in the table with 4 points, while O Elvas CAD occupy 8th position with 13 points.
Sertanense come into this match with 0 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas O Elvas CAD have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 3 recorded meetings, O Elvas CAD have 2 wins against Sertanense, with 1 draw.
Prediction: O Elvas CAD to win with probability 40%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.25. Over 2.5: 39%. BTTS: 46%.




Sertanense have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Sertanense have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Sertanense's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, O Elvas CAD have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
O Elvas CAD have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of O Elvas CAD's last 6 matches.