The model estimates 1.15 goals for Fazendense and 1.86 for Mortagua. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Fazendense and 6 for Mortagua, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Mortagua · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Fazendense is going head to head with Mortagua on January 30, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 16.
Fazendense take on Mortagua in the Campeonato de Portugal on 30 January 2027 at 00:00.
Fazendense are currently placed 53rd in the table with 1 points, while Mortagua occupy 7th position with 13 points.
Fazendense come into this match with 0 wins, 1 draw and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Mortagua have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Mortagua have 1 win against Fazendense.
Prediction: Mortagua to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.01. Over 2.5: 58%. BTTS: 59%.




Fazendense have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 6 of Fazendense's last 6 matches.
Fazendense have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Mortagua have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Mortagua have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Mortagua's last 6 matches.