The model estimates 1.32 goals for SB Castelo Branco and 1.35 for Mortagua. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for SB Castelo Branco and 6 for Mortagua, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: SB Castelo Branco · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
SB Castelo Branco is going head to head with Mortagua on February 14, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 18.
SB Castelo Branco take on Mortagua in the Campeonato de Portugal on 14 February 2027 at 00:00.
SB Castelo Branco are currently placed 18th in the table with 9 points, while Mortagua occupy 7th position with 13 points.
SB Castelo Branco come into this match with 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Mortagua have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 11 recorded meetings, SB Castelo Branco have 5 wins against Mortagua, with 6 draws.
Prediction: SB Castelo Branco to win with probability 36%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.67. Over 2.5: 50%. BTTS: 56%.
SB MORSB MORSB MORSB MORSB MORSB MORSB MORSB MORSB MORThere have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of SB Castelo Branco's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of SB Castelo Branco's last 6 matches.
SB Castelo Branco score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Mortagua have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Mortagua have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Mortagua's last 6 matches.
