The model estimates 1.52 goals for Malveira and 1.02 for Sertanense. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Malveira and 6 for Sertanense, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Malveira · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Malveira is going head to head with Sertanense on February 07, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 17.
Malveira take on Sertanense in the Campeonato de Portugal on 7 February 2027 at 00:00.
Malveira are currently placed 27th in the table with 8 points, while Sertanense occupy 46th position with 4 points.
Malveira come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sertanense have 0 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Malveira have yet to beat Sertanense, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Malveira to win with probability 45%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.54. Over 2.5: 47%. BTTS: 52%.
MALSERMALSERMALSERMALSERMALSERMALSERMALSERMALSERMALSERIn their last 6 matches, Malveira have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Malveira have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Malveira concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Sertanense have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Sertanense have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Sertanense's last 6 matches.
