The model estimates 0.79 goals for Maria de Fonte and 1.62 for Tirsense. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Maria de Fonte and 6 for Tirsense, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Tirsense · 50%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Maria de Fonte is going head to head with Tirsense on November 28, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 9.
Maria de Fonte take on Tirsense in the Campeonato de Portugal on 28 November 2026 at 18:00.
Maria de Fonte are currently placed 47th in the table with 6 points, while Tirsense occupy 8th position with 15 points.
Maria de Fonte come into this match with 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Tirsense have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 2 recorded meetings, Maria de Fonte have 1 win against Tirsense.
Prediction: Tirsense to win with probability 50%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.41. Over 2.5: 43%. BTTS: 45%.
MARTIRMARTIRMARTIRMARTIRMARTIRMARTIRMARTIRMARTIRMARTIRMaria de Fonte have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Maria de Fonte have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Maria de Fonte's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Tirsense have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Tirsense have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Tirsense's last 6 matches.
