The model estimates 1.46 goals for Tirsense and 0.71 for Ponte da Barca. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Tirsense and 6 for Ponte da Barca, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Tirsense · 50%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Tirsense is going head to head with Ponte da Barca on December 06, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 10.
Tirsense take on Ponte da Barca in the Campeonato de Portugal on 6 December 2026 at 18:00.
Tirsense are currently placed 16th in the table with 9 points, while Ponte da Barca occupy 47th position with 4 points.
Tirsense come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Ponte da Barca have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Tirsense to win with probability 50%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.18. Over 2.5: 37%. BTTS: 41%.




In their last 6 matches, Tirsense have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Tirsense have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Tirsense score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Ponte da Barca have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Ponte da Barca have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Ponte da Barca have lost 4 of their last 6 away matches.