The model estimates 0.82 goals for Maria de Fonte and 1.44 for Chaves B. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Maria de Fonte and 6 for Chaves B, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Chaves B · 50%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Maria de Fonte is going head to head with Chaves B on March 21, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 23.
Maria de Fonte take on Chaves B in the Campeonato de Portugal on 21 March 2027 at 00:00.
Maria de Fonte are currently placed 47th in the table with 6 points, while Chaves B occupy 16th position with 12 points.
Maria de Fonte come into this match with 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Chaves B have 4 wins, 0 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, Chaves B have 2 wins against Maria de Fonte, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Chaves B to win with probability 46%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.27. Over 2.5: 39%. BTTS: 44%.
MARCHAMARCHAMARCHAMARCHAMARCHAMARCHAMARCHAMARCHAMARCHAMaria de Fonte have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Maria de Fonte have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Maria de Fonte's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Chaves B have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Chaves B have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Chaves B's last 6 matches.
