The model estimates 1.29 goals for Mantova and 0.71 for Carrarese. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Mantova and 6 for Carrarese, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Mantova · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Mantova is going head to head with Carrarese on January 09, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie B — Round 20.
Mantova take on Carrarese in the Serie B on 9 January 2027 at 00:00.
Mantova are currently placed 4th in the table with 19 points, while Carrarese occupy 17th position with 10 points.
Mantova come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Carrarese have 3 wins, 0 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Mantova have 1 win against Carrarese.
Prediction: Mantova to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.00. Over 2.5: 32%. BTTS: 38%.
MANCARMANCARMANCARMANCARMANCARMANCARMANCARMANCARMANCARThere have been under 2.5 goals in 5 of Mantova's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Mantova have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Mantova have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Carrarese's last 6 matches.
Carrarese have won only 1 of their last 5 away matches.
