The model estimates 0.93 goals for Empoli and 1.44 for Mantova. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Empoli and 6 for Mantova, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Mantova · 40%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Empoli is going head to head with Mantova on January 30, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie B — Round 23.
Empoli take on Mantova in the Serie B on 30 January 2027 at 00:00.
Empoli are currently placed 18th in the table with 8 points, while Mantova occupy 4th position with 17 points.
Empoli come into this match with 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Mantova have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Mantova have 1 win against Empoli.
Prediction: Mantova to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.36. Over 2.5: 42%. BTTS: 48%.




Empoli have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Empoli have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Empoli's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Mantova have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Mantova's last 6 matches.
Mantova are on a run of 4 consecutive undefeated away matches.