The model estimates 1.22 goals for Mantova and 0.92 for Avellino. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Mantova and 6 for Avellino, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Mantova · 42%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Mantova is going head to head with Avellino on January 23, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie B — Round 22.
Mantova take on Avellino in the Serie B on 23 January 2027 at 00:00.
Mantova are currently placed 4th in the table with 18 points, while Avellino occupy 8th position with 14 points.
Mantova come into this match with 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Avellino have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Mantova to win with probability 42%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.14. Over 2.5: 36%. BTTS: 44%.




In their last 6 matches, Mantova have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Mantova have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Mantova's last 6 matches.
Avellino have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Avellino's last 6 matches.
Avellino have lost 4 of their last 6 away matches.