The model estimates 1.49 goals for Avellino and 0.92 for Cesena. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Avellino and 6 for Cesena, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Avellino · 51%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Avellino is going head to head with Cesena on January 30, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Serie B — Round 23.
Avellino take on Cesena in the Serie B on 30 January 2027 at 00:00.
Avellino are currently placed 12th in the table with 11 points, while Cesena occupy 16th position with 9 points.
Avellino come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Cesena have 0 wins, 4 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 24 recorded meetings, Cesena have 10 wins against Avellino, with 6 draws.
Prediction: Avellino to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.41. Over 2.5: 43%. BTTS: 48%.




Avellino have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Avellino's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Avellino's last 6 matches.
Cesena have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Cesena have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Cesena's last 6 matches.