The model estimates 1.61 goals for Manchester Utd and 1.05 for Sunderland. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Manchester Utd and 6 for Sunderland, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Manchester Utd · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Manchester Utd is going head to head with Sunderland on December 30, 2026 at 19:30. This match is part of Premier League — Round 18.
Manchester Utd take on Sunderland in the Premier League on 30 December 2026 at 19:30.
Manchester Utd are currently placed 17th in the table with 7 points, while Sunderland occupy 20th position with 5 points.
Manchester Utd come into this match with 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Sunderland have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 125 recorded meetings, Manchester Utd have 60 wins against Sunderland, with 28 draws.
Prediction: Manchester Utd to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.66. Over 2.5: 50%. BTTS: 54%.




Manchester Utd have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Manchester Utd's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Manchester Utd's last 6 matches.
Sunderland have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Sunderland's last 6 matches.
Sunderland have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.