The model estimates 2.78 goals for Brighton and 0.91 for Manchester Utd. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Brighton and 6 for Manchester Utd, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Brighton · 67%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Brighton is going head to head with Manchester Utd on January 02, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Premier League — Round 19.
Brighton take on Manchester Utd in the Premier League on 2 January 2027 at 00:00.
Brighton are currently placed 3rd in the table with 16 points, while Manchester Utd occupy 16th position with 7 points.
Brighton come into this match with 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Manchester Utd have 0 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 27 recorded meetings, Manchester Utd have 15 wins against Brighton, with 3 draws.
Prediction: Brighton to win with probability 67%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 3.70. Over 2.5: 71%. BTTS: 57%.




In their last 6 matches, Brighton have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Brighton have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Brighton's last 6 matches.
Manchester Utd have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Manchester Utd's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Manchester Utd's last 6 matches.