The model estimates 2.21 goals for Maia and 1.31 for Ponte da Barca. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Fallback model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Maia and 6 for Ponte da Barca, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
No eligible pre-kickoff record is available. The displayed calculation is retrospective analysis and is excluded from the prediction record.
The market estimates shown below may be reconstructed with the current model. Only the separately recorded pre-kickoff 1X2 selection is evaluated above.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Maia is going head to head with Ponte da Barca on August 23, 2026 at 19:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 2.
Maia take on Ponte da Barca in the Campeonato de Portugal on 23 August 2026 at 19:00.
Maia are currently placed 43rd in the table with 0 points, while Ponte da Barca occupy 47th position with 0 points.
Maia come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Ponte da Barca have 0 wins, 2 draws and 4 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Maia to win with probability 53%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 3.52. Over 2.5: 68%. BTTS: 66%.
MAIPONMAIPONMAIPONMAIPONMAIPONMAIPONMAIPONMAIPONMAIPONMaia have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Maia have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Maia's last 6 matches.
Ponte da Barca have won only 0 of their last 6 matches.
Ponte da Barca have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
Ponte da Barca have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
