The model estimates 0.90 goals for Ponte da Barca and 0.98 for Celoricense. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Ponte da Barca and 6 for Celoricense, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Draw · 34%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Ponte da Barca is going head to head with Celoricense on November 28, 2026 at 18:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 9.
Ponte da Barca take on Celoricense in the Campeonato de Portugal on 28 November 2026 at 18:00.
Ponte da Barca are currently placed 47th in the table with 4 points, while Celoricense occupy 25th position with 8 points.
Ponte da Barca come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Celoricense have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Ponte da Barca and Celoricense to draw with probability 34%. Most likely scoreline: 0-0. Avg goals: 1.88. Over 2.5: 29%. BTTS: 39%.




Ponte da Barca have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Ponte da Barca have kept 3 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Ponte da Barca's last 6 home matches.
In their last 6 matches, Celoricense have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Celoricense have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Celoricense's last 6 matches.