The model estimates 1.10 goals for Lecce and 1.02 for Genoa. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lecce and 6 for Genoa, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lecce · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lecce is going head to head with Genoa on November 01, 2026 at 17:30. This match is part of Serie A — Round 10.
Lecce take on Genoa in the Serie A on 1 November 2026 at 17:30.
Lecce are currently placed 12th in the table with 9 points, while Genoa occupy 16th position with 7 points.
Lecce come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Genoa have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 30 recorded meetings, Genoa have 14 wins against Lecce, with 8 draws.
Prediction: Lecce to win with probability 37%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.12. Over 2.5: 36%. BTTS: 44%.
LECGENLECGENLECGENLECGENLECGENLECGENLECGENLECGENLECGENLecce have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Lecce have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lecce's last 6 matches.
Genoa have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Genoa's last 6 matches.
Genoa concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
