The model estimates 1.77 goals for Maia and 0.91 for Maria de Fonte. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Fallback model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Maia and 6 for Maria de Fonte, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
No eligible pre-kickoff record is available. The displayed calculation is retrospective analysis and is excluded from the prediction record.
The market estimates shown below may be reconstructed with the current model. Only the separately recorded pre-kickoff 1X2 selection is evaluated above.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Maia is going head to head with Maria de Fonte on October 11, 2026 at 17:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 5.
Maia take on Maria de Fonte in the Campeonato de Portugal on 11 October 2026 at 17:00.
Maia are currently placed 54th in the table with 0 points, while Maria de Fonte occupy 46th position with 3 points.
Maia come into this match with 2 wins, 0 draws and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Maria de Fonte have 1 win, 0 draws and 5 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Maia to win with probability 53%. Most likely scoreline: 2-0. Avg goals: 2.69. Over 2.5: 50%. BTTS: 51%.
MAIMARMAIMARMAIMARMAIMARMAIMARMAIMARMAIMARMAIMARMAIMARMaia have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
Maia have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Maia's last 6 matches.
Maria de Fonte have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Maria de Fonte have lost 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Maria de Fonte's last 6 matches.
