The model estimates 1.65 goals for Union Berlin and 1.13 for Köln. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Union Berlin and 6 for Köln, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Union Berlin · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Union Berlin is going head to head with Köln on October 31, 2026 at 14:30. This match is part of Bundesliga — Round 8.
Union Berlin take on Köln in the Bundesliga on 31 October 2026 at 14:30.
Union Berlin are currently placed 17th in the table with 6 points, while Köln occupy 13th position with 8 points.
Union Berlin come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Köln have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 20 recorded meetings, Union Berlin have 10 wins against Köln, with 4 draws.
Prediction: Union Berlin to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 2-1. Avg goals: 2.78. Over 2.5: 53%. BTTS: 56%.




Union Berlin have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Union Berlin have lost by 2+ goals in 3 of their last 6 matches.
Union Berlin concede an average of 2.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Köln have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Köln's last 6 matches.
Köln concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.