The model estimates 1.03 goals for Lille and 0.83 for Lyon. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lille and 6 for Lyon, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lille · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lille is going head to head with Lyon on November 21, 2026 at 16:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 11.
Lille take on Lyon in the Ligue 1 on 21 November 2026 at 16:00.
Lille are currently placed 3rd in the table with 15 points, while Lyon occupy 5th position with 14 points.
Lille come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lyon have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 114 recorded meetings, Lille have 41 wins against Lyon, with 32 draws.
Prediction: Lille and Lyon to draw with probability 34%. Most likely scoreline: 0-0. Avg goals: 1.86. Over 2.5: 28%. BTTS: 38%.




Lille have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Lille concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Lille have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
In their last 6 matches, Lyon have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lyon's last 6 matches.
Lyon score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.