The model estimates 1.43 goals for Lyon and 1.09 for Monaco. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lyon and 6 for Monaco, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lyon · 43%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lyon is going head to head with Monaco on November 28, 2026 at 16:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 12.
Lyon take on Monaco in the Ligue 1 on 28 November 2026 at 16:00.
Lyon are currently placed 5th in the table with 14 points, while Monaco occupy 4th position with 15 points.
Lyon come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Monaco have 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 127 recorded meetings, Monaco have 54 wins against Lyon, with 25 draws.
Prediction: Lyon to win with probability 43%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.52. Over 2.5: 46%. BTTS: 52%.




In their last 6 matches, Lyon have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lyon's last 6 matches.
Lyon score an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Monaco have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Monaco's last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Monaco's last 6 matches.