The model estimates 1.95 goals for Lille and 3.80 for Bayern Munich. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lille and 6 for Bayern Munich, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Bayern Munich · 60%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lille is going head to head with Bayern Munich on November 25, 2026 at 20:00. This match is part of UEFA Champions League — Round 5.
Lille take on Bayern Munich in the UEFA Champions League on 25 November 2026 at 20:00.
Lille are currently placed 35th in the table with 0 points, while Bayern Munich occupy 14th position with 5 points.
Lille come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Bayern Munich have 2 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
Prediction: Bayern Munich to win with probability 60%. Most likely scoreline: 1-3. Avg goals: 5.76. Over 2.5: 93%. BTTS: 84%.




Lille have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Lille concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Lille have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
In their last 6 matches, Bayern Munich have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
Bayern Munich have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Bayern Munich's last 6 matches.