The model estimates 1.09 goals for Lens and 1.14 for Lille. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lens and 6 for Lille, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lille · 35%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lens is going head to head with Lille on March 20, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 25.
Lens take on Lille in the Ligue 1 on 20 March 2027 at 00:00.
Lens are currently placed 9th in the table with 11 points, while Lille occupy 3rd position with 15 points.
Lens come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lille have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 105 recorded meetings, Lille have 41 wins against Lens, with 34 draws.
Prediction: Lens and Lille to draw with probability 31%. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Avg goals: 2.23. Over 2.5: 38%. BTTS: 47%.




Lens have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lens's last 6 matches.
Lens concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Lille have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Lille concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 away matches, Lille have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.