The model estimates 1.65 goals for Lens and 0.99 for Nice. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lens and 6 for Nice, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lens · 49%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lens is going head to head with Nice on April 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 28.
Lens take on Nice in the Ligue 1 on 17 April 2027 at 00:00.
Lens are currently placed 9th in the table with 11 points, while Nice occupy 10th position with 11 points.
Lens come into this match with 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Nice have 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 98 recorded meetings, Lens have 37 wins against Nice, with 25 draws.
Prediction: Lens to win with probability 49%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.64. Over 2.5: 49%. BTTS: 52%.




Lens have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lens's last 6 matches.
Lens concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 5 of Nice's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Nice have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Nice's last 6 matches.