The model estimates 1.17 goals for Lorient and 1.12 for Lens. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lorient and 6 for Lens, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lorient · 37%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lorient is going head to head with Lens on April 10, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 27.
Lorient take on Lens in the Ligue 1 on 10 April 2027 at 00:00.
Lorient are currently placed 8th in the table with 12 points, while Lens occupy 9th position with 11 points.
Lorient come into this match with 3 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lens have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 34 recorded meetings, Lorient have 13 wins against Lens, with 12 draws.
Prediction: Lorient and Lens to draw with probability 31%. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Avg goals: 2.29. Over 2.5: 40%. BTTS: 48%.




In their last 6 matches, Lorient have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
There have been under 2.5 goals in 4 of Lorient's last 6 matches.
Lorient have kept 4 clean sheets in their last 6 matches.
Lens have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lens's last 6 matches.
Lens concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.