The model estimates 1.33 goals for PSG and 0.77 for Lille. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for PSG and 6 for Lille, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: PSG · 45%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
PSG is going head to head with Lille on April 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 28.
PSG take on Lille in the Ligue 1 on 17 April 2027 at 00:00.
PSG are currently placed 1st in the table with 17 points, while Lille occupy 3rd position with 15 points.
PSG come into this match with 5 wins, 0 draws and 1 loss from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lille have 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 110 recorded meetings, PSG have 47 wins against Lille, with 30 draws.
Prediction: PSG to win with probability 47%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.10. Over 2.5: 35%. BTTS: 41%.




In their last 6 matches, PSG have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
PSG have won 5 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of PSG's last 6 matches.
Lille have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Lille concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 away matches, Lille have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.