The model estimates 1.50 goals for Lille and 0.88 for Toulouse. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Lille and 6 for Toulouse, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lille · 47%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Lille is going head to head with Toulouse on April 10, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 27.
Lille take on Toulouse in the Ligue 1 on 10 April 2027 at 00:00.
Lille are currently placed 3rd in the table with 15 points, while Toulouse occupy 11th position with 10 points.
Lille come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Toulouse have 2 wins, 3 draws and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 100 recorded meetings, Lille have 44 wins against Toulouse, with 27 draws.
Prediction: Lille to win with probability 48%. Most likely scoreline: 1-0. Avg goals: 2.38. Over 2.5: 42%. BTTS: 47%.




Lille have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Lille concede an average of 1.67 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 home matches, Lille have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
In their last 6 matches, Toulouse have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Toulouse have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Toulouse's last 6 matches.