The model estimates 1.66 goals for Auxerre and 2.01 for Lens. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Auxerre and 6 for Lens, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Lens · 39%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Auxerre is going head to head with Lens on April 03, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Ligue 1 — Round 26.
Auxerre take on Lens in the Ligue 1 on 3 April 2027 at 00:00.
Auxerre are currently placed 12th in the table with 10 points, while Lens occupy 9th position with 11 points.
Auxerre come into this match with 3 wins, 1 draw and 2 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Lens have 2 wins, 1 draw and 3 losses in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 78 recorded meetings, Lens have 30 wins against Auxerre, with 24 draws.
Prediction: Lens to win with probability 41%. Most likely scoreline: 1-2. Avg goals: 3.67. Over 2.5: 71%. BTTS: 71%.




Both teams have scored in 5 of Auxerre's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Auxerre have been unbeaten on 4 occasions.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Auxerre's last 6 matches.
Lens have won only 2 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Lens's last 6 matches.
Lens concede an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.