The model estimates 1.22 goals for Fatima and 1.29 for Mortagua. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Fatima and 6 for Mortagua, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Fatima · 50%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Fatima is going head to head with Mortagua on January 10, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 13.
Fatima take on Mortagua in the Campeonato de Portugal on 10 January 2027 at 00:00.
Fatima are currently placed 39th in the table with 5 points, while Mortagua occupy 7th position with 13 points.
Fatima come into this match with 1 win, 2 draws and 3 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Mortagua have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 4 recorded meetings, Mortagua have 2 wins against Fatima, with 1 draw.
Prediction: Fatima and Mortagua to draw with probability 30%. Most likely scoreline: 1-1. Avg goals: 2.51. Over 2.5: 46%. BTTS: 53%.




Fatima have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Fatima's last 6 matches.
Fatima score an average of 1.50 goals per game across their last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Mortagua have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Mortagua have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Mortagua's last 6 matches.