The model estimates 1.05 goals for Nazarenos and 1.33 for Mortagua. These scoring rates produce the outcome probabilities below. They are estimates, not guarantees.
Competition-fitted model calculation · · dixon-coles-v2 2.5.0
Recent-form panels contain 6 completed matches for Nazarenos and 6 for Mortagua, before kickoff. These panel counts are not the full model training sample. Injury and suspension coverage is unavailable; late team news may change the outlook.
Saved before kickoff: Mortagua · 48%. . This is a timestamped database record, not proof of public publication or a placed bet.
Fair prices are model estimates, not bookmaker quotes. A likely outcome is not automatically a value bet.
Nazarenos is going head to head with Mortagua on January 17, 2027 at 00:00. This match is part of Campeonato de Portugal — Round 14.
Nazarenos take on Mortagua in the Campeonato de Portugal on 17 January 2027 at 00:00.
Nazarenos are currently placed 48th in the table with 4 points, while Mortagua occupy 7th position with 13 points.
Nazarenos come into this match with 1 win, 1 draw and 4 losses from their last 6 completed matches, whereas Mortagua have 4 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss in their last 6 completed matches.
In their last 1 recorded meeting, Mortagua have 1 win against Nazarenos.
Prediction: Mortagua to win with probability 39%. Most likely scoreline: 0-1. Avg goals: 2.37. Over 2.5: 42%. BTTS: 49%.
NAZMORNAZMORNAZMORNAZMORNAZMORNAZMORNAZMORNAZMORNAZMORNazarenos have won only 1 of their last 6 matches.
Nazarenos have lost 4 of their last 6 matches.
There have been over 2.5 goals in 4 of Nazarenos's last 6 matches.
In their last 6 matches, Mortagua have been unbeaten on 5 occasions.
Mortagua have won 4 of their last 6 matches.
Both teams have scored in 4 of Mortagua's last 6 matches.
